THE XO MARKET COMPANION

Your conviction.
A little more considered.

Find a market. Test your thinking. Make a plan.

POSITION PLANNER

Start with a market. Or your own idea.

Select a market on the leftView on XO ↗

What’s your view?

01 / MODEL

Entry price ¢Position budget $

Enter your planned fill price. No order is placed.

Your probability of Yes60%

UnlikelyEven chanceVery likely

Estimated total costs $

Additional fees and slippage allowance. Enter costs from XO’s order preview.

Expected net result based on your estimate+$20.00

If you’re right+$100.00

If you’re wrong−$100.00

Break-even chance50.0%

Your estimated edge+10.0 pp

Your estimate is above the break-even probability.

How the calculation works

The budget buys shares at your entry price. Each winning share pays $1; a losing share pays $0. Costs are added to your budget. Expected net result = your probability × shares − budget − costs. Break-even = (budget + costs) ÷ shares. These are scenarios, not forecasts or executable quotes. Void refunds depend on market rules.

Know what resolves it.

02 / REVIEW

Published rules & sources ↗

Select a market to load its published rules.

I’ve checked the deadline, sources, and void conditions.

Leave yourself a note.

03 / REMEMBER

Saved only on this device.