Your conviction.Held up to the book.
Live markets, the real spread, and a position you can explain.
Four moves, then you know your number.
Pick a live market, read the book, model the chance you actually believe, and keep the plan on this device. XO Lens never places a trade.
- 01
Pick a market
Search or filter the live XO list, or start a custom scenario of your own.
- 02
Read the book
The chart is XO history. The ladder is the live yes book. The price you type is a planned fill, not an order.
- 03
Model your view
Set a budget, any costs, and your probability. The desk shows the win, the loss, break-even, and your edge.
- 04
Save the plan
Check the rules and sources, write why you believe it, then save. It stays in this browser until you export it.
Start with a market. Or your own idea.
The live book appears when XO sends a snapshot.
Actual XO history with the live book at the right edge. No simulated price path.
What’s your view?
01 / MODELEnter your planned fill price. No order is placed.
Additional fees and slippage allowance. Enter costs from XO’s order preview.
Your estimate is above the break-even probability.
How the calculation works
The budget buys shares at your entry price. Each winning share pays $1; a losing share pays $0. Costs are added to your budget. Expected net result = your probability × shares − budget − costs. Break-even = (budget + costs) ÷ shares. These are scenarios, not forecasts or executable quotes. Void refunds depend on market rules.
Know what resolves it.
02 / REVIEWPublished rules & sources ↗
Leave yourself a note.
03 / REMEMBERConvictions worth remembering.
Plans saved on this browser. Export a copy to keep them.